Decision Time

The War: This is a very unstable time. Markets hate instability. Back before the Jewish Holidays, the world was a different place. Now, It is very different indeed. When mobs overran the Palestine government troops and killed the Jewish soldiers, it was a sign of things to come. When the terrorists blew a hole in our ship, that was the crowning blow. Change is upon us and so I have to change too. I can go several ways, but change is imminent. I have run the length of my rope and now it is attached to nothing. Religious wars have again caught the world's attention. I believe this is the start of the DAYS OF RAGE. I believe this to be the start of Nostradamus' 23-30 year war. Again, I could be off by as much as 12 years according to the Mayan 25000 year calendar. If the USA does not pay attention to the situation at hand, we will be destroyed in the process. I should have taken a hint when President Clinton went around the world trying to broker a peace with anyone so that his legacy would be something other than a philanderer. I should have taken a hint when Secretary of Defense Cohen pompously said openly that we were the most powerful force in the world today and that we would not rest until justice had been done. Well, I am now taking the hint and here it is. Leaps are no longer the weapon of choice in the market. Leaps depend on a stable world. CSCO is one of the best companies around and it is in the tank, mainly due to JNPR, which is a not so small company grabbing market share with a better product. While CSCO is still growing at 35%/year, JNPR is growing at 100's of % per year. CSCO's price to earnings ratio (PE) is 150. JNPR's PE is 800. JNPR is now worth more that DELL, or approximately 66 Billion. CSCO is now worth 350 Billion,and was worth 550 billion back in March. INTC lost 200 billion also in the same timeframe, MSFT lost 300 billion, NT lost 100 billion, EMC lost 50 billion, AMAT lost 50 billion. Stocks are at all-time lows and they are going lower, due to uncertainty of conditions for investment. Fragile is what I would call the stock market now. For a person who watches the stock market and reacts instantaneously, this is a great market to be in. Options can go up or down with rapidity and this are no long term guarantees in this market. The investors are wise to the game anymore. They dump that which is not working and get into something that is. LU & ATT combined lost 200 Billion as an example.The days of a convenient safe big blue chip stock are gone. HD lost 50 billion yesterday alone. WMT lost 150 billion. All these stocks will move back up in time, but it may take a lot of years.
The Oil Crisis:
Oil prices are manipulated daily by fear. We are 60% dependent on foreign oil and that means that OPEC has got control of America anytime it wants to take control. We were 55% dependent on foreign oil when the Shah of Iran was deposed. We never learn. Now, I believe that the Princes of Saudi Arabia and Kawait are going to be deposed. This will make oil go to levels unheard of and gas will be cheap at $3/ gal. Not only are we dumb about world conditions, we let the environmentalists run away with our stability. By not building more ships, refineries, dams, and nuclear power plants, America is now an energy poor nation. By not proceeding with alternate energy sources, we have doomed America to become the Russia of 2001. This coming war will tear us up economically. Until America recognizes that we are an energy poor nation, we will behind the eight ball. What will we do if the Saudis go out of power. They are the only oil producer with extra capacity, you know. Even if the Saudis produce more oil, we have no more available tankers to bring it here. Even if the tankers could bring more oil, our refineries are all operating at full bore now. The heating oil shortage in the northwest is for real now. There is not enough heating oil to go around for a normal winter, let alone a bad winter. This is why the President released his Strategic reserves. All of his ho ho strategic reserves will keep us going for only one month and where is he going to refine the oil. The world has an unreasonable dependence on oil and we are going to pay for it. The New World Order is behind all this. Wars and Oil are their game. They own the oil and they can cause a war through mind control methods. Alan Greenspan:
He is at best a pawn of the New World Order. Thinking that you as a person on this earth can control the growth of the world is quite a mind trip. He can at best react to world conditions as they arise.
My love affair with stock market is ending. While I have made some money at it infrequently, for the majority of the time, it has been and will continue to be a major loser and a BIG WASTE OF MY TIME. It makes a lot of money 4 months of the year, and those months are November, January, April, and July. If you are going to invest, invest in the middle of each of the preceding months and you will, on average, clean up. I have lost 250k on this experiment and now I am preparing to move on with my life. I am in major debt and I will proceed to get out of it. I am going to play with granite now..